• Post category:StudyBullet-3
  • Reading time:6 mins read


The relationship of Probability Credibility and Error

What you will learn

Overview of Various Statistics/Probability Theories

Description

This class is in a conversational, radio news format; It follows the framework and subject in Hogben’s Statistical Theory, this class is thus separated into four parts/weeks: Part I) Game of Chance, Part II) Calculus of Error and Exploration, Part III) Calculus of Aggregates and Part IV) Calculus of Judgements. Each section summarizing the corresponding chapters in the book/section covering the development of the “intrusion of probability” in statistics.

For the beginner or those who would like an easy breezy, enjoyable refresh into the topic of probability and statistics, this class is the conclusion of the series which starts with basics to probability and mathematics to the million part 1 and 2. Basics of probability is the key to understanding the bolts that make probability; counting, sets, Independence and the philosophy of probability which hopes to lead the student into the fundamental connection of the inner simple works of probability and calculus: one wouldn’t exist without the other. Basics of probability, using Farber and Ross books along with original material, is the key that leads to mathematics for the million part 1 and 2, which uses the algebraic language,to explore mathematics, culminating in the Hogben statistics which explores the entirety of the relation betweenΒ  those subjects*.

Hogben statistics presentation is to commemorate the First Belarussian front, which was a front formed in world war II against the Nazis, the first regiment to reach Hitler’s stronghold.


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*Mathematics for the million part 1 and 2 and Hogben statistics are based on Lancelot Hogben’s books and instructor original material.

Due to image pixels uploading issue, this class was first made available on instructors YouTube channel.

English
language

Content

Format, Dedication and Welcome and Fun, Fun
Format
Dedication
Dedication more “artistic”
Radio News
Start Broadcast
Foreword: The Contemporary Crisis or the Uncertainties of Uncertain Inference
Foreword: The Contemporary Crisis or the Uncertainties of Uncertain Inference
Part I – The Founding Fathers
Part I – Chapter Two – The Founding Fathers and the Natural History of Gambling
Part I – Chapter Three – Randomness and the Relevance of the Rule
Part I – Chapter Four – Division of the Stakes and the Lottery of Life and Death
Part I – Chapter 5 -The Backward Look and the Balance Sheet of Thomas Bayes
Part I – Chapter 6 – The Place of Laplace and the ….Classic
The Founding Father and the Natural History of Gambling – Quiz
Part II – The Calculus of Error and the Calculus of Exploration
Part II – Chapter 7 -The Normal Law Comes Into Picture
Part II – Chapter 8 – The Method of Least Squares/Concept of Point Estimation
Part II – Chapter 9 – Error, Variation and Natural Law
Part II – Chapter 10 -Stochastic Models for Simple Regression
Part II – Chapter 11 -The Impasse of Factor Analysis
Part II Quiz – The Calculus of Error and the Calculus of Exploration
Part III – The Calculus of Aggregates
Part III – Chapter 12 – Maxwell and the Urn of Nature
Part III – Chapter 13 – Mendelism and the Two Meanings of Probability
Part III Quiz – The Calculus of Aggregates
Part IV – The Calculus of Judgements
Part IV – Chapter 14 – Statistical Prudence and Statistical Inference
Part IV – Chapter 15 – Decision, Indecision and Sample Economy
Part IV – Chapter 16 – Induction and design, Stochastic and Non Stochastic
Part IV- Chapter 17 – Recipe and Rule in Stochastic Induction
Part IV – Chapter 18 – The Confidence Controversy and the Fifth Cannon
Part 4 – The Calculus of Judgement Quiz
Epilogue and Appendix
Epilogue – Chapter 19
Appendix IV – Significance as Interpreted by the School of R.A. Fisher
Extra Material (Exercises -Attempts and Answers; bit of code)
Extra Material (Exercises -Attempts and Answers; bit of code) and Thank you